Friendlies Clubs · Feb 18, 2023 14:30

PFC Sochi
PWR 49
4 - 2
FT

Fakel Voronezh
PWR 33
50% H 24% D 26% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: PFC Sochi to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack57
Defense52
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.4
Attack47
Defense38
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.8
PFC Sochi Form LLWDD
DOWN
Fakel Voronezh Form DLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS63%
Under 2.531%
PFC Sochi Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Fakel Voron… Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.23
PFC Sochi
vs
1.07
Fakel Voronezh
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#76
PFC Sochi
+134
Gap
#210
Fakel Voron…
WR 38% 12 pts WR 11% 8 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
PFC Sochi8332131112
Fakel Voronezh915312168
PFC Sochi 8.0%
Jan 29 PFC Soc… v Lokomot… 2-0
Jan 29 PFC Soc… v Lokomot… 0-2
Oct 08 PFC Soc… v Lokomot… 4-0
Sep 18 PFC Soc… v Fakel V… 1-1
Apr 17 PFC Soc… v Lokomot… 2-2
Oct 25 PFC Soc… v Lokomot… 2-1
Apr 07 PFC Soc… v Lokomot… 1-3
Fakel Voronezh 5.0%
Sep 18 Fakel V… v PFC Soc… 1-1
Sep 03 Fakel V… v Nizhny … 3-1
Jan 23 Fakel V… v Nizhny … 0-0
Oct 27 Fakel V… v Nizhny … 0-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 18, 2022 PFC Sochi 1-1 Fakel Voronezh
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.