Predictions Match Details
Ligue 2 · Jan 17, 2025 19:00
Red Star
PWR 44
1 - 3
FT

Pau FC
PWR 34
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense62
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Attack43
Defense53
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Red Star Form DWWWD
STABLE
Pau FC Form DDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS15%
Under 2.570%
Red Star Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Pau FC Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Red Star
vs
0.20
Pau FC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#23
Red Star
-18
Gap
#5
Pau FC
WR 25% 25 pts WR 30% 103 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Red Star205105242225
Pau FC83252830109127103
Red Star 16.0%
Jan 10 Red Star v Laval 1-1
Jan 03 Red Star v Rodez 0-2
Dec 14 Red Star v Grenoble 3-1
Dec 14 Red Star v Grenoble 3-1
Dec 06 Red Star v Bastia 0-0
Dec 06 Red Star v Bastia 0-0
Nov 22 Red Star v Pau FC 4-1
Nov 22 Red Star v Pau FC 4-1
Nov 08 Red Star v Troyes 0-3
Nov 01 Red Star v Martigu… 0-1
Pau FC 8.0%
Jan 10 Pau FC v Dunkerq… 1-1
Jan 04 Pau FC v Metz 0-0
Dec 13 Pau FC v Ajaccio 1-0
Dec 06 Pau FC v Rodez 1-0
Dec 06 Pau FC v Rodez 1-0
Nov 22 Pau FC v Red Star 4-1
Nov 22 Pau FC v Red Star 4-1
Nov 09 Pau FC v Paris FC 0-0
Nov 01 Pau FC v Annecy 2-0
Oct 29 Pau FC v Estac T… 3-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Nov 22, 2024 Pau FC 4-1 Red Star
Nov 22, 2024 Pau FC 4-1 Red Star
Key Factors
Red Star in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.