Predictions Match Details
Ligue 2 · Nov 22, 2024 19:00

Pau FC
PWR 34
4 - 1
FT
Red Star
PWR 44
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Pau FC to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (43%) 0-1 (24%) 1-0 (13%) 1-1 (7%) 0-2 (6%) 1-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense53
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Attack42
Defense62
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Pau FC Form DLLLL
STABLE
Red Star Form LWWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.55%
BTTS11%
Under 2.595%
Pau FC Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Red Star Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Pau FC
vs
0.55
Red Star
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Pau FC
+18
Gap
#23
Red Star
WR 30% 103 pts WR 25% 25 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Pau FC83252830109127103
Red Star205105242225
Pau FC 2.0%
Nov 09 Pau FC v Paris FC 0-0
Nov 01 Pau FC v Annecy 2-0
Oct 29 Pau FC v Estac T… 3-0
Oct 29 Pau FC v Troyes 3-0
Oct 25 Pau FC v Amiens 0-2
Oct 25 Pau FC v Amiens 0-2
Oct 22 Pau FC v Bastia 1-1
Oct 18 Pau FC v Guingamp 0-1
Sep 27 Pau FC v Laval 3-1
Sep 27 Pau FC v Laval 3-1
Red Star 10.0%
Nov 08 Red Star v Troyes 0-3
Nov 01 Red Star v Martigu… 0-1
Oct 29 Red Star v Metz 1-0
Oct 25 Red Star v Dunkerq… 2-0
Oct 18 Red Star v Caen 2-2
Oct 04 Red Star v Annecy 1-0
Sep 28 Red Star v Paris FC 1-3
Sep 24 Red Star v Clermont 1-1
Sep 24 Red Star v Clermont 1-1
Sep 20 Red Star v Laval 0-3
Key Factors
Pau FC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.