2. Bundesliga · Oct 06, 2024 11:30
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth
PWR 51
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
2 - 2
FT
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth
PWR 51
63% H
21% D
16% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Draw expected (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
3-2 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
3-0 (5%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 1% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.9
Attack75
Defense70
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G1.0
FC Augsburg Form
WWLWD
STABLE
SpVgg Greuther… Form
LLLLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS74%
Under 2.526%
FC Augsburg Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
SpVgg Greut… Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.03
FC Augsburgvs
1.52
SpVgg Greuther…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
FC Augsburg-13
Gap#2
SpVgg Greut…
WR 35% 65 pts
WR 35% 116 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg | 52 | 18 | 11 | 23 | 89 | 91 | 65 |
| SpVgg Greuther … | 88 | 31 | 23 | 34 | 130 | 149 | 116 |
FC Augsburg
14.0%
| Oct 04 | FC Augs… v M'gladb… | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | FC Augs… v Borussi… | 2-1 |
| Sep 28 | FC Augs… v RB Leip… | 4-0 |
| Sep 28 | FC Augs… v SV Darm… | 1-2 |
| Sep 22 | FC Augs… v Karlsru… | 2-2 |
| Sep 20 | FC Augs… v Mainz | 2-3 |
| Sep 20 | FC Augs… v FSV Mai… | 2-3 |
| Sep 15 | FC Augs… v FC St. … | 3-1 |
| Sep 15 | FC Augs… v FC St. … | 3-1 |
| Sep 14 | FC Augs… v FC Koln | 1-2 |
SpVgg Greuther…
2.0%
| Sep 27 | SpVgg G… v Fortuna… | 1-2 |
| Sep 27 | SpVgg G… v Fortuna… | 1-2 |
| Sep 21 | SpVgg G… v Eintrac… | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | SpVgg G… v Eintrac… | 2-0 |
| Sep 15 | SpVgg G… v SV Elve… | 0-0 |
| Aug 30 | SpVgg G… v Jahn Re… | 0-4 |
| Aug 24 | SpVgg G… v SC Pade… | 1-1 |
| Aug 09 | SpVgg G… v FC Kais… | 2-2 |
| Aug 04 | SpVgg G… v Preusse… | 3-1 |
| Aug 04 | SpVgg G… v Preusse… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| May 10, 2024 | FC Augsburg | 0-0 | SpVgg Greuthe… |
| May 10, 2024 | FC Augsburg | 0-0 | SpVgg Greuthe… |
| Mar 21, 2024 | FC Augsburg | 4-1 | SpVgg Greuthe… |
| Dec 09, 2023 | SpVgg Greuthe… | 1-1 | FC Augsburg |
| Dec 09, 2023 | SpVgg Greuthe… | 1-1 | FC Augsburg |
| Mar 18, 2023 | SpVgg Greuthe… | 3-0 | FC Augsburg |
| Sep 11, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 2-1 | SpVgg Greuthe… |
| May 14, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 2-1 | SpVgg Greuthe… |
| Dec 18, 2021 | SpVgg Greuthe… | 0-0 | FC Augsburg |
Key Factors
FC Augsburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.