AI Match Insights

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2. Bundesliga Dec 09, 2023

SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth

Home
VS
12:00

FC Magdeburg

Away
AI Predictions 56.0% Confidence
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Win
56.0%
Draw
22.8%
FC Magdeburg Win
21.2%
Home Win (56% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 2.76 - 1.12
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
FC Magdeburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 02 SpVgg Gre… vs Eintracht… 0-1
Dec 02 SpVgg Gre… vs Eintracht… 0-1
Nov 26 SpVgg Gre… vs SV Wehen 2-0
Nov 12 SpVgg Gre… vs Fortuna D… 1-0
Sep 15 SpVgg Gre… vs FC Nurnbe… 1-1
Aug 26 SpVgg Gre… vs Hertha Be… 5-0
Aug 05 SpVgg Gre… vs Holstein … 2-1
May 28 SpVgg Gre… vs SV Darmst… 4-0
May 13 SpVgg Gre… vs Eintracht… 2-2
Mar 18 SpVgg Gre… vs FC Magdeb… 3-0
FC Magdeburg Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 3-0
Sep 11 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 18, 2023 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 3 - 0 FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2022 FC Magdeburg 2 - 1 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

ELITE: SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 81
  • Power: 51 vs 0
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Power 51
FC Magdeburg Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Position

-1

Position Gap

17

FC Magdeburg Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.