2. Bundesliga · Sep 11, 2022 11:30

FC Augsburg
PWR 28
2 - 1
FT

SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth
PWR 51
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth to win (76% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
76%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 1% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.9
Attack75
Defense70
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G1.0
FC Augsburg Form WLLLW
STABLE
SpVgg Greuther… Form DLDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS68%
Under 2.532%
FC Augsburg Goals
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
SpVgg Greut… Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
FC Augsburg
vs
1.44
SpVgg Greuther…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
FC Augsburg
-13
Gap
#2
SpVgg Greut…
WR 35% 65 pts WR 35% 116 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
FC Augsburg52181123899165
SpVgg Greuther …88312334130149116
FC Augsburg 8.0%
Sep 09 FC Augs… v Werder … 0-1
Aug 27 FC Augs… v 1899 Ho… 1-0
Aug 20 FC Augs… v FSV Mai… 1-2
Aug 19 FC Augs… v Hannove… 0-4
Aug 13 FC Augs… v Bayer L… 1-2
Aug 07 FC Augs… v Holstei… 1-2
Aug 06 FC Augs… v SC Frei… 0-4
Jul 16 FC Augs… v Fortuna… 1-2
Jun 18 FC Augs… v Pipinsr… 4-2
May 14 FC Augs… v SpVgg G… 2-1
SpVgg Greuther… 4.0%
Aug 14 SpVgg G… v Fortuna… 2-2
Jul 23 SpVgg G… v FC Nurn… 2-0
Jul 16 SpVgg G… v Holstei… 2-2
May 14 SpVgg G… v FC Augs… 2-1
Mar 05 SpVgg G… v VfL Boc… 2-1
Feb 12 SpVgg G… v Hertha … 2-1
Dec 18 SpVgg G… v FC Augs… 0-0
Oct 16 SpVgg G… v VfL Boc… 0-1
Sep 17 SpVgg G… v Hertha … 2-1
May 23 SpVgg G… v Fortuna… 3-2
Head-to-Head (2)
May 14, 2022 FC Augsburg 2-1 SpVgg Greuthe…
Dec 18, 2021 SpVgg Greuthe… 0-0 FC Augsburg
Key Factors
FC Augsburg struggling (3L in last 5)
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.