FAW Championship · Jan 17, 2025 19:30
Ammanford AFC
PWR 42
Caerau (Ely)
PWR 47
PWR 47
2 - 1
FT
Ammanford AFC
PWR 42
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%)
3-0 (13%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense48
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.5
Attack48
Defense45
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Caerau (Ely) Form
LWWWD
STABLE
Ammanford AFC Form
WWLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS38%
Under 2.543%
Caerau (Ely) Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Ammanford A… Goals
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Caerau (Ely)vs
0.53
Ammanford AFCDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#17
Caerau (Ely)-9
Gap#8
Ammanford A…
WR 37% 58 pts
WR 33% 82 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 43 | 16 | 10 | 17 | 68 | 64 | 58 |
| Ammanford AFC | 63 | 21 | 19 | 23 | 86 | 99 | 82 |
Caerau (Ely)
14.0%
| Dec 20 | Caerau … v Newport… | 3-1 |
| Dec 14 | Caerau … v Bala To… | 1-0 |
| Nov 12 | Caerau … v Trefelin | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Caerau … v Ammanfo… | 0-2 |
| Oct 25 | Caerau … v Cambria… | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Caerau … v Bala To… | 3-3 |
| Aug 26 | Caerau … v Trethom… | 2-2 |
| Aug 16 | Caerau … v Newport… | 1-2 |
| Aug 06 | Caerau … v Caernar… | 2-2 |
| Aug 02 | Caerau … v Goytre … | 3-2 |
Ammanford AFC
14.0%
| Jan 11 | Ammanfo… v Cambria… | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Ammanfo… v Afan Li… | 5-1 |
| Jan 01 | Ammanfo… v Caernar… | 3-0 |
| Nov 22 | Ammanfo… v Trefelin | 0-1 |
| Nov 16 | Ammanfo… v Haverfo… | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Ammanfo… v Caerau … | 0-2 |
| Nov 01 | Ammanfo… v Pontypr… | 3-0 |
| Oct 19 | Ammanfo… v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Oct 04 | Ammanfo… v Cambria… | 3-2 |
| Aug 23 | Ammanfo… v Caernar… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 08, 2024 | Ammanford AFC | 0-2 | Caerau (Ely) |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Ammanford AFC | 1-1 | Caerau (Ely) |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) | 1-2 | Ammanford AFC |
Key Factors
Caerau (Ely) in strong form (3W in last 5)
Ammanford AFC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.