FAW Championship · Nov 08, 2024 19:30
Ammanford AFC
PWR 42
Ammanford AFC
PWR 42
0 - 2
FT
Caerau (Ely)
PWR 47
PWR 47
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Ammanford AFC to win (82% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
82%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (4%)
3-3 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-2 (3%)
2-3 (2%)
2-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack48
Defense45
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Attack55
Defense48
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.5
Ammanford AFC Form
LWLLW
STABLE
Caerau (Ely) Form
DDDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS92%
Under 2.536%
Ammanford A… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Caerau (Ely) Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Ammanford AFCvs
2.66
Caerau (Ely)Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Ammanford A…+9
Gap#17
Caerau (Ely)
WR 33% 82 pts
WR 37% 58 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammanford AFC | 63 | 21 | 19 | 23 | 86 | 99 | 82 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 43 | 16 | 10 | 17 | 68 | 64 | 58 |
Ammanford AFC
8.0%
| Nov 01 | Ammanfo… v Pontypr… | 3-0 |
| Oct 19 | Ammanfo… v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Oct 04 | Ammanfo… v Cambria… | 3-2 |
| Aug 23 | Ammanfo… v Caernar… | 2-3 |
| Aug 18 | Ammanfo… v Baglan … | 0-2 |
| Aug 03 | Ammanfo… v Hertfor… | 2-0 |
| Apr 20 | Ammanfo… v Taffs W… | 1-3 |
| Apr 09 | Ammanfo… v Briton … | 4-0 |
| Mar 29 | Ammanfo… v Caerau … | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Ammanfo… v Afan Li… | 2-4 |
Caerau (Ely)
8.0%
| Oct 25 | Caerau … v Cambria… | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Caerau … v Bala To… | 3-3 |
| Aug 26 | Caerau … v Trethom… | 2-2 |
| Aug 16 | Caerau … v Newport… | 1-2 |
| Aug 06 | Caerau … v Caernar… | 2-2 |
| Aug 02 | Caerau … v Goytre … | 3-2 |
| Jul 26 | Caerau … v Trefelin | 1-0 |
| Jul 20 | Caerau … v Trefelin | 2-1 |
| Apr 13 | Caerau … v Pontypr… | 3-1 |
| Apr 09 | Caerau … v Goytre … | 6-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 29, 2024 | Ammanford AFC | 1-1 | Caerau (Ely) |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) | 1-2 | Ammanford AFC |
Key Factors
Ammanford AFC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.