Predictions Match Details
FAW Championship · Aug 12, 2023 13:30
Caerau (Ely)
PWR 47
1 - 2
FT

Ammanford AFC
PWR 42
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (38% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
38%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense48
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.5
Attack48
Defense45
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Caerau (Ely) Form N/A
STABLE
Ammanford AFC Form DDLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS56%
Under 2.544%
Caerau (Ely) Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Ammanford A… Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Caerau (Ely)
vs
1.08
Ammanford AFC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Caerau (Ely)
-9
Gap
#8
Ammanford A…
WR 37% 58 pts WR 33% 82 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Caerau (Ely)43161017686458
Ammanford AFC63211923869982
Caerau (Ely) 50%
No recent data
Ammanford AFC 8.0%
Aug 05 Ammanfo… v Trefelin 2-2
Apr 04 Ammanfo… v Cambria… 1-1
Feb 25 Ammanfo… v Ynyshir… 1-0
Feb 17 Ammanfo… v Trefelin 1-1
Jan 02 Ammanfo… v Caernar… 2-2
Dec 27 Ammanfo… v Caernar… 0-4
Nov 18 Ammanfo… v Trefelin 4-2
Aug 26 Ammanfo… v Cambria… 3-1
Aug 02 Ammanfo… v Ynyshir… 2-2
Apr 18 Ammanfo… v Caernar… 4-0
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.