Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 06, 2022 11:00

Moreirense
PWR 45
0 - 1
FT

Leixões SC
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Moreirense to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack46
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Moreirense Form DWLLD
STABLE
Leixões SC Form LDLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS48%
Under 2.550%
Moreirense Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Leixões SC Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Moreirense
vs
0.82
Leixões SC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Moreirense
+3
Gap
#4
Leixões SC
WR 37% 193 pts WR 28% 88 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Moreirense139523750182194193
Leixões SC742125287910188
Moreirense 8.0%
Mar 05 Moreire… v Lusitân… 4-4
Feb 18 Moreire… v Felguei… 2-1
Feb 13 Moreire… v Famalic… 5-0
Jan 22 Moreire… v Santa C… 0-2
Jan 15 Moreire… v Benfica 1-1
Jan 08 Moreire… v Sportin… 1-0
Jan 03 Moreire… v Tondela 2-1
Dec 28 Moreire… v Estoril 1-0
Dec 12 Moreire… v Portimo… 0-1
Dec 07 Moreire… v Lusitân… 0-1
Leixões SC 10.0%
Dec 04 Leixões… v FC Porto 1-0
Nov 07 Leixões… v Penafie… 1-1
Oct 30 Leixões… v Benfica 1-2
May 09 Leixões… v FC Porto 2-0
Apr 10 Leixões… v Penafie… 2-0
Mar 21 Leixões… v Benfica 2-1
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.