Predictions Match Details
Serie A · Sep 16, 2023 18:45

Genoa
PWR 32
2 - 2
FT

Napoli
PWR 40
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense56
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.5
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Genoa Form WDLDL
STABLE
Napoli Form LWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.534%
BTTS38%
Under 2.566%
Genoa Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Napoli Goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Genoa
vs
0.73
Napoli
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Genoa
-13
Gap
#3
Napoli
WR 23% 23 pts WR 54% 49 pts
Genoa 8.0%
Aug 27 Genoa v Lazio 0-1
Mar 01 Genoa v Cagliari 0-0
Feb 05 Genoa v Parma 2-0
Jan 28 Genoa v Pisa 0-0
Jan 12 Genoa v AS Roma 1-0
Oct 07 Genoa v Cagliari 0-0
Sep 03 Genoa v Parma 3-3
Aug 28 Genoa v Pisa 0-1
Jul 27 Genoa v Lazio 4-1
May 21 Genoa v Bologna 0-1
Napoli 14.0%
Sep 02 Napoli v Lazio 1-2
Aug 27 Napoli v Sassuolo 2-0
May 28 Napoli v Bologna 2-2
May 21 Napoli v Inter 3-1
May 07 Napoli v Fiorent… 1-0
May 04 Napoli v Udinese 1-1
Apr 23 Napoli v Juventus 0-1
Apr 18 Napoli v AC Milan 1-1
Apr 15 Napoli v Verona 0-0
Apr 12 Napoli v AC Milan 1-0
Head-to-Head (5)
May 15, 2022 Napoli 3-0 Genoa
Aug 29, 2021 Genoa 1-2 Napoli
Feb 06, 2021 Genoa 2-1 Napoli
Sep 27, 2020 Napoli 6-0 Genoa
Jul 08, 2020 Genoa 1-2 Napoli
Key Factors
Napoli in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.