League Two · Mar 22, 2025 15:00
Grimsby
PWR 38
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
Grimsby
PWR 38
1 - 0
FT
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Grimsby to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (12%)
2-0 (10%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense66
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.1
Attack31
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Grimsby Form
LLLLW
DOWN
Newport County… Form
LWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.536%
BTTS41%
Under 2.564%
Grimsby Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Newport Cou… Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Grimsbyvs
0.81
Newport County…Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings76%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Grimsby+13
Gap#23
Newport Cou…
WR 43% 44 pts
WR 21% 20 pts
Grimsby
4.0%
| Mar 15 | Grimsby v Watford | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Grimsby v Watford | 0-1 |
| Mar 11 | Grimsby v Newport… | 0-2 |
| Mar 11 | Grimsby v Newport… | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Grimsby v Walsall | 1-3 |
| Mar 04 | Grimsby v Tranmer… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Grimsby v Tranmer… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Grimsby v Chelsea | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Grimsby v Chelsea | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Grimsby v Fleetwo… | 2-1 |
Newport County…
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Newport… v Chester… | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Newport… v Harroga… | 3-0 |
| Mar 15 | Newport… v Chester… | 1-2 |
| Mar 11 | Newport… v Grimsby | 0-2 |
| Mar 11 | Newport… v Accring… | 5-0 |
| Mar 11 | Newport… v Grimsby | 0-2 |
| Mar 11 | Newport… v Accring… | 5-0 |
| Mar 08 | Newport… v Chester… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Newport… v AFC Wim… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Newport… v Chester… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 11, 2025 | Grimsby | 0-2 | Newport Count… |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Grimsby | 0-2 | Newport Count… |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Newport Count… | 0-0 | Grimsby |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Newport Count… | 0-0 | Grimsby |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Newport Count… | 4-1 | Grimsby |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Newport Count… | 4-1 | Grimsby |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5-5 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5-5 | Newport Count… |
Key Factors
Grimsby struggling (4L in last 5)
Newport County AFC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.