League Two · Nov 16, 2024 15:00

Newport County AFC
PWR 26

Grimsby
PWR 38

Newport County AFC
PWR 26
0 - 0
FT

Grimsby
PWR 38
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (53%)
1-0 (23%)
0-1 (11%)
2-0 (5%)
1-1 (5%)
0-2 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 37%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Attack44
Defense66
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.1
Newport County… Form
LDLDD
STABLE
Grimsby Form
LWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.53%
BTTS6%
Under 2.597%
Newport Cou… Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Grimsby Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
Newport County…vs
0.20
GrimsbyDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#23
Newport Cou…-11
Gap#12
Grimsby
WR 13% 21 pts
WR 40% 45 pts
Newport County…
6.0%
| Nov 09 | Newport… v Tranmer… | 2-1 |
| Nov 09 | Newport… v Doncast… | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Newport… v Tranmer… | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Newport… v Fleetwo… | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Newport… v Fleetwo… | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Newport… v Harroga… | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Newport… v Harroga… | 1-0 |
| Oct 22 | Newport… v Birming… | 0-2 |
| Oct 22 | Newport… v Barrow | 1-1 |
| Oct 22 | Newport… v Barrow | 1-1 |
Grimsby
4.0%
| Nov 12 | Grimsby v Chester… | 3-2 |
| Nov 09 | Grimsby v AFC Wim… | 0-1 |
| Nov 02 | Grimsby v Wealdst… | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Grimsby v Milton … | 1-3 |
| Oct 26 | Grimsby v Milton … | 1-3 |
| Oct 22 | Grimsby v Tranmer… | 0-1 |
| Oct 22 | Grimsby v Tranmer… | 0-1 |
| Oct 19 | Grimsby v Walsall | 1-4 |
| Oct 12 | Grimsby v Watford | 1-2 |
| Oct 12 | Grimsby v Watford | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 22, 2024 | Newport Count… | 4-1 | Grimsby |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Newport Count… | 4-1 | Grimsby |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5-5 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5-5 | Newport Count… |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Grimsby |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Grimsby |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Newport Count… | 3-2 | Grimsby |
| Mar 07, 2023 | Grimsby | 1-1 | Newport Count… |
Key Factors
Grimsby struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.