League Two · Nov 16, 2024 15:00

Newport County AFC
PWR 26
0 - 0
FT

Grimsby
PWR 38
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (53%) 1-0 (23%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (5%) 1-1 (5%) 0-2 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 37%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Attack44
Defense66
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.1
Newport County… Form LDLDD
STABLE
Grimsby Form LWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.53%
BTTS6%
Under 2.597%
Newport Cou… Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Grimsby Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
Newport County…
vs
0.20
Grimsby
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#23
Newport Cou…
-11
Gap
#12
Grimsby
WR 13% 21 pts WR 40% 45 pts
Newport County… 6.0%
Nov 09 Newport… v Tranmer… 2-1
Nov 09 Newport… v Doncast… 1-1
Nov 09 Newport… v Tranmer… 2-1
Oct 26 Newport… v Fleetwo… 0-0
Oct 26 Newport… v Fleetwo… 0-0
Oct 26 Newport… v Harroga… 1-0
Oct 26 Newport… v Harroga… 1-0
Oct 22 Newport… v Birming… 0-2
Oct 22 Newport… v Barrow 1-1
Oct 22 Newport… v Barrow 1-1
Grimsby 4.0%
Nov 12 Grimsby v Chester… 3-2
Nov 09 Grimsby v AFC Wim… 0-1
Nov 02 Grimsby v Wealdst… 0-1
Oct 26 Grimsby v Milton … 1-3
Oct 26 Grimsby v Milton … 1-3
Oct 22 Grimsby v Tranmer… 0-1
Oct 22 Grimsby v Tranmer… 0-1
Oct 19 Grimsby v Walsall 1-4
Oct 12 Grimsby v Watford 1-2
Oct 12 Grimsby v Watford 1-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Aug 22, 2024 Newport Count… 4-1 Grimsby
Aug 22, 2024 Newport Count… 4-1 Grimsby
Apr 06, 2024 Grimsby 1-0 Newport Count…
Apr 06, 2024 Grimsby 1-0 Newport Count…
Jan 13, 2024 Grimsby 5-5 Newport Count…
Jan 13, 2024 Grimsby 5-5 Newport Count…
Dec 16, 2023 Newport Count… 1-1 Grimsby
Dec 16, 2023 Newport Count… 1-1 Grimsby
Aug 12, 2023 Newport Count… 3-2 Grimsby
Mar 07, 2023 Grimsby 1-1 Newport Count…
Key Factors
Grimsby struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.