League Two · Apr 06, 2024 14:00
Grimsby
PWR 38
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
Grimsby
PWR 38
1 - 0
FT
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Grimsby to win (83% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
83%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
2-0 (18%)
0-0 (12%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense66
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.1
Attack31
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Grimsby Form
DLLDW
STABLE
Newport County… Form
LDLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.534%
BTTS26%
Under 2.566%
Grimsby Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Newport Cou… Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Grimsbyvs
0.39
Newport County…Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings73%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Grimsby+11
Gap#23
Newport Cou…
WR 43% 45 pts
WR 21% 21 pts
Grimsby
8.0%
| Apr 01 | Grimsby v Brentfo… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Grimsby v Barrow | 3-1 |
| Mar 23 | Grimsby v Wrexham | 1-3 |
| Mar 16 | Grimsby v Birming… | 1-1 |
| Mar 12 | Grimsby v Milton … | 1-0 |
| Mar 12 | Grimsby v Milton … | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Grimsby v Southam… | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Grimsby v AFC Wim… | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Grimsby v Forest … | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Grimsby v Morecam… | 1-1 |
Newport County…
4.0%
| Apr 01 | Newport… v Crawley… | 0-4 |
| Apr 01 | Newport… v Milton … | 3-3 |
| Apr 01 | Newport… v Crawley… | 0-4 |
| Apr 01 | Newport… v Milton … | 3-3 |
| Mar 29 | Newport… v Swindon | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Newport… v Manches… | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Newport… v Manches… | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Newport… v Swindon | 2-1 |
| Mar 23 | Newport… v Barrow | 1-0 |
| Mar 23 | Newport… v Barrow | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5-5 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5-5 | Newport Count… |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Grimsby |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Grimsby |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Newport Count… | 3-2 | Grimsby |
| Mar 07, 2023 | Grimsby | 1-1 | Newport Count… |
| Sep 03, 2022 | Newport Count… | 0-2 | Grimsby |
| May 23, 2022 | Newport Count… | 1-2 | Grimsby |
| Feb 05, 2022 | Newport Count… | 1-2 | Grimsby |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Grimsby | 0-1 | Newport Count… |
Key Factors
Newport County AFC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.