AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Oct 22, 2024

Barrow

Home
VS
18:45

Notts County

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Barrow Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Notts County Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.84 - 1.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.0
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Barrow Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Notts County Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Barrow Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Barrow vs Accringto… 1-0
Oct 19 Barrow vs Accringto… 1-0
Oct 12 Barrow vs Morecambe 0-1
Oct 05 Barrow vs Chelsea 2-1
Oct 05 Barrow vs Chelsea 2-1
Oct 01 Barrow vs Doncaster 1-0
Sep 28 Barrow vs Birmingham 2-0
Sep 28 Barrow vs Birmingham 2-0
Sep 21 Barrow vs Newport C… 2-0
Sep 21 Barrow vs Newport C… 2-0
Notts County Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Notts Cou… vs Barrow 1-1
Oct 07 Notts Cou… vs Barrow 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Barrow struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 27, 2024 Notts County 1 - 1 Barrow League Two
Oct 07, 2023 Barrow 1 - 1 Notts County League Two
Final Verdict

ELITE: Barrow to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 78
  • Power: 30 vs 0
Barrow Power 30
Notts County Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

21

Barrow Position

-19

Position Gap

2

Notts County Position
Home Win Rate: 15%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.