AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Jan 27, 2024

Notts County

Home
VS
15:00

Barrow

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Notts County Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Barrow Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 42%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.44 - 1.85
Key Insights
Position gap: 19 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Notts County Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Barrow Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 0-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 0-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Notts County Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 07 Notts Cou… vs Barrow 1-1
Barrow Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Barrow vs Crewe 1-3
Jan 20 Barrow vs Crewe 1-3
Jan 13 Barrow vs Southampt… 2-2
Jan 06 Barrow vs Tranmere … 1-0
Jan 06 Barrow vs Tranmere … 1-0
Jan 01 Barrow vs Wrexham 4-1
Dec 29 Barrow vs Accringto… 1-1
Dec 29 Barrow vs Accringto… 1-1
Dec 26 Barrow vs Stockport 2-2
Dec 22 Barrow vs Crewe 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 07, 2023 Barrow 1 - 1 Notts County League Two
Final Verdict

ELITE: Notts County to win (88% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-1 88% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 19
Notts County Power 0
Barrow Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Notts County Position

+19

Position Gap

21

Barrow Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.