Bundesliga · Feb 21, 2025 19:30

SC Freiburg
PWR 34
5 - 0
FT

Werder Bremen
PWR 35
61% H 22% D 17% A
Final Verdict
SC Freiburg Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
WON - Actual: 5-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 7 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (7 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
SC Freiburg Form WWWWL
UP
Werder Bremen Form LLWDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS55%
Under 2.537%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Werder Brem… Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
SC Freiburg
vs
0.89
Werder Bremen
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings78%
Market50%
League Standings
#7
SC Freiburg
+9
Gap
#16
Werder Brem…
WR 60% 30 pts WR 9% 19 pts
SC Freiburg 16.0%
Feb 15 SC Frei… v FC St. … 0-1
Feb 08 SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… 1-0
Feb 08 SC Frei… v FC Heid… 1-0
Feb 01 SC Frei… v VfL Boc… 0-1
Jan 25 SC Frei… v Bayern … 1-2
Jan 18 SC Frei… v VfB Stu… 4-0
Jan 14 SC Frei… v Eintrac… 4-1
Jan 11 SC Frei… v Holstei… 3-2
Dec 21 SC Frei… v Bayer L… 5-1
Dec 13 SC Frei… v VfL Wol… 3-2
Werder Bremen 6.0%
Feb 16 Werder … v 1899 Ho… 1-3
Feb 07 Werder … v Bayern … 3-0
Jan 31 Werder … v Mainz 1-0
Jan 25 Werder … v Borussi… 2-2
Jan 19 Werder … v FC Augs… 0-2
Jan 15 Werder … v 1899 Ho… 3-3
Jan 12 Werder … v RB Leip… 4-2
Dec 21 Werder … v Union B… 4-1
Dec 14 Werder … v FC St. … 0-2
Dec 07 Werder … v VfL Boc… 0-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Oct 05, 2024 Werder Bremen 0-1 SC Freiburg
Oct 05, 2024 Werder Bremen 0-1 SC Freiburg
Jan 27, 2024 Werder Bremen 3-1 SC Freiburg
Jan 27, 2024 Werder Bremen 3-1 SC Freiburg
Aug 26, 2023 SC Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Apr 16, 2023 Werder Bremen 1-2 SC Freiburg
Oct 22, 2022 SC Freiburg 2-0 Werder Bremen
Feb 13, 2021 Werder Bremen 0-0 SC Freiburg
Oct 17, 2020 SC Freiburg 1-1 Werder Bremen
May 23, 2020 SC Freiburg 0-1 Werder Bremen
Key Factors
SC Freiburg in strong form (4W in last 5)
Werder Bremen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.