Bundesliga · Oct 05, 2024 13:30

Werder Bremen
PWR 35

SC Freiburg
PWR 34

Werder Bremen
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT

SC Freiburg
PWR 34
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Werder Bremen to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (13%)
1-0 (13%)
0-2 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.8% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Werder Bremen Form
WWLWD
STABLE
SC Freiburg Form
LLWWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.534%
BTTS41%
Under 2.566%
Werder Brem… Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Werder Bremenvs
1.07
SC FreiburgDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings36%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
Werder Brem…-7
Gap#8
SC Freiburg
WR 30% 19 pts
WR 18% 27 pts
Werder Bremen
14.0%
| Sep 29 | Werder … v 1899 Ho… | 3-4 |
| Sep 29 | Werder … v 1899 Ho… | 3-4 |
| Sep 21 | Werder … v Bayern … | 0-5 |
| Sep 15 | Werder … v Mainz | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Werder … v Borussi… | 0-0 |
| Aug 31 | Werder … v Borussi… | 0-0 |
| Aug 24 | Werder … v FC Augs… | 2-2 |
| Aug 24 | Werder … v FC Augs… | 2-2 |
| Aug 19 | Werder … v Energie… | 1-3 |
| May 18 | Werder … v VfL Boc… | 4-1 |
SC Freiburg
12.0%
| Sep 28 | SC Frei… v FC St. … | 0-3 |
| Sep 28 | SC Frei… v FC St. … | 0-3 |
| Sep 21 | SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… | 0-3 |
| Sep 21 | SC Frei… v FC Heid… | 0-3 |
| Sep 14 | SC Frei… v VfL Boc… | 2-1 |
| Sep 01 | SC Frei… v Bayern … | 2-0 |
| Sep 01 | SC Frei… v Bayern … | 2-0 |
| Aug 24 | SC Frei… v VfB Stu… | 3-1 |
| Aug 24 | SC Frei… v VfB Stu… | 3-1 |
| May 18 | SC Frei… v Union B… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Jan 27, 2024 | Werder Bremen | 3-1 | SC Freiburg |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Werder Bremen | 3-1 | SC Freiburg |
| Aug 26, 2023 | SC Freiburg | 1-0 | Werder Bremen |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Werder Bremen | 1-2 | SC Freiburg |
| Oct 22, 2022 | SC Freiburg | 2-0 | Werder Bremen |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Werder Bremen | 0-0 | SC Freiburg |
| Oct 17, 2020 | SC Freiburg | 1-1 | Werder Bremen |
| May 23, 2020 | SC Freiburg | 0-1 | Werder Bremen |
Key Factors
Werder Bremen in strong form (3W in last 5)
SC Freiburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.