Bundesliga · Jan 27, 2024 14:30
Werder Bremen
PWR 35
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
Werder Bremen
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.8% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Werder Bremen Form
WDDDD
STABLE
SC Freiburg Form
WDLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS37%
Under 2.569%
Werder Brem… Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Werder Bremenvs
0.74
SC FreiburgDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Werder Brem…-9
Gap#7
SC Freiburg
WR 30% 19 pts
WR 18% 30 pts
Werder Bremen
12.0%
| Jan 21 | Werder … v Bayern … | 0-1 |
| Jan 14 | Werder … v VfL Boc… | 1-1 |
| Dec 19 | Werder … v RB Leip… | 1-1 |
| Dec 15 | Werder … v Borussi… | 2-2 |
| Dec 15 | Werder … v M'gladb… | 2-2 |
| Dec 09 | Werder … v FC Augs… | 2-0 |
| Dec 09 | Werder … v FC Augs… | 2-0 |
| Dec 02 | Werder … v VfB Stu… | 2-0 |
| Dec 02 | Werder … v VfB Stu… | 2-0 |
| Nov 25 | Werder … v Bayer L… | 0-3 |
SC Freiburg
10.0%
| Jan 20 | SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… | 3-2 |
| Jan 13 | SC Frei… v Union B… | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | SC Frei… v FC Heid… | 3-2 |
| Dec 20 | SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… | 3-2 |
| Dec 17 | SC Frei… v FC Koln | 2-0 |
| Dec 17 | SC Frei… v FC Koln | 2-0 |
| Dec 09 | SC Frei… v VfL Wol… | 0-1 |
| Dec 09 | SC Frei… v VfL Wol… | 0-1 |
| Dec 03 | SC Frei… v Mainz | 0-1 |
| Nov 25 | SC Frei… v SV Darm… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Aug 26, 2023 | SC Freiburg | 1-0 | Werder Bremen |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Werder Bremen | 1-2 | SC Freiburg |
| Oct 22, 2022 | SC Freiburg | 2-0 | Werder Bremen |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Werder Bremen | 0-0 | SC Freiburg |
| Oct 17, 2020 | SC Freiburg | 1-1 | Werder Bremen |
| May 23, 2020 | SC Freiburg | 0-1 | Werder Bremen |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.