Predictions Match Details
Bundesliga · Aug 26, 2023 13:30

SC Freiburg
PWR 34
1 - 0
FT

Werder Bremen
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
SC Freiburg Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy77%
POSITION_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKINGDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
SC Freiburg Form LWLLW
STABLE
Werder Bremen Form DLLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS63%
Under 2.534%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Werder Brem… Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
SC Freiburg
vs
1.18
Werder Bremen
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings78%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
SC Freiburg
+9
Gap
#16
Werder Brem…
WR 60% 30 pts WR 9% 19 pts
SC Freiburg 8.0%
Jul 22 SC Frei… v VfL Wol… 2-3
May 19 SC Frei… v VfL Wol… 2-0
May 06 SC Frei… v RB Leip… 0-1
May 02 SC Frei… v RB Leip… 1-5
Apr 29 SC Frei… v FC Koln 0-1
Apr 16 SC Frei… v Werder … 1-2
Apr 08 SC Frei… v Bayern … 0-1
Apr 04 SC Frei… v Bayern … 1-2
Feb 11 SC Frei… v VfB Stu… 2-1
Feb 04 SC Frei… v Borussi… 5-1
Werder Bremen 4.0%
May 20 Werder … v FC Koln 1-1
Apr 16 Werder … v SC Frei… 1-2
Apr 02 Werder … v 1899 Ho… 1-2
Mar 17 Werder … v Borussi… 2-2
Mar 12 Werder … v Bayer L… 2-3
Mar 04 Werder … v FC Augs… 2-1
Feb 18 Werder … v Eintrac… 2-0
Feb 11 Werder … v Borussi… 0-2
Feb 05 Werder … v VfB Stu… 0-2
Jan 21 Werder … v FC Koln 7-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Apr 16, 2023 Werder Bremen 1-2 SC Freiburg
Oct 22, 2022 SC Freiburg 2-0 Werder Bremen
Feb 13, 2021 Werder Bremen 0-0 SC Freiburg
Oct 17, 2020 SC Freiburg 1-1 Werder Bremen
May 23, 2020 SC Freiburg 0-1 Werder Bremen
Key Factors
SC Freiburg struggling (3L in last 5)
Werder Bremen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.