Predictions Match Details
Bundesliga · Apr 16, 2023 13:30

Werder Bremen
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

SC Freiburg
PWR 34
29% H 28% D 43% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.8% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Werder Bremen Form LDLLL
STABLE
SC Freiburg Form LWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS68%
Under 2.529%
Werder Brem… Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.08
Werder Bremen
vs
1.24
SC Freiburg
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Werder Brem…
-9
Gap
#7
SC Freiburg
WR 30% 19 pts WR 18% 30 pts
Werder Bremen 2.0%
Apr 02 Werder … v 1899 Ho… 1-2
Mar 17 Werder … v Borussi… 2-2
Mar 12 Werder … v Bayer L… 2-3
Mar 04 Werder … v FC Augs… 2-1
Feb 18 Werder … v Eintrac… 2-0
Feb 11 Werder … v Borussi… 0-2
Feb 05 Werder … v VfB Stu… 0-2
Jan 21 Werder … v FC Koln 7-1
Oct 22 Werder … v SC Frei… 2-0
Oct 07 Werder … v 1899 Ho… 1-2
SC Freiburg 12.0%
Apr 08 SC Frei… v Bayern … 0-1
Apr 04 SC Frei… v Bayern … 1-2
Feb 11 SC Frei… v VfB Stu… 2-1
Feb 04 SC Frei… v Borussi… 5-1
Jan 28 SC Frei… v FC Augs… 3-1
Jan 21 SC Frei… v VfL Wol… 6-0
Jan 13 SC Frei… v Hamburg… 6-2
Nov 09 SC Frei… v RB Leip… 3-1
Nov 06 SC Frei… v FC Koln 2-0
Oct 22 SC Frei… v Werder … 2-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Oct 22, 2022 SC Freiburg 2-0 Werder Bremen
Feb 13, 2021 Werder Bremen 0-0 SC Freiburg
Oct 17, 2020 SC Freiburg 1-1 Werder Bremen
May 23, 2020 SC Freiburg 0-1 Werder Bremen
Key Factors
SC Freiburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
Werder Bremen struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.