AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Jun 01, 2023

Heerenveen

Home
VS
16:45

FC Twente

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Heerenveen Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
FC Twente Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.29 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Heerenveen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
FC Twente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Heerenveen Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 21 Heerenveen vs PSV Eindh… 3-3
Apr 15 Heerenveen vs Sparta Ro… 4-0
Mar 19 Heerenveen vs Groningen 0-2
Mar 04 Heerenveen vs FC Twente 3-3
Mar 01 Heerenveen vs Feyenoord 0-1
Feb 25 Heerenveen vs Waalwijk 1-4
Feb 12 Heerenveen vs Feyenoord 1-2
Feb 04 Heerenveen vs Utrecht 1-0
Jan 22 Heerenveen vs Groningen 3-1
Jan 07 Heerenveen vs Waalwijk 0-0
FC Twente Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 FC Twente vs Utrecht 1-0
Apr 01 FC Twente vs Excelsior 0-0
Mar 19 FC Twente vs AZ Alkmaar 2-1
Mar 04 FC Twente vs Heerenveen 3-3
Feb 19 FC Twente vs GO Ahead … 2-0
Feb 12 FC Twente vs FC Volend… 3-0
Jan 29 FC Twente vs Feyenoord 1-1
Jan 22 FC Twente vs Utrecht 2-0
Nov 06 FC Twente vs GO Ahead … 1-1
Oct 09 FC Twente vs Feyenoord 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 04, 2023 FC Twente 3 - 3 Heerenveen Eredivisie
Sep 18, 2022 Heerenveen 2 - 1 FC Twente Eredivisie
Jan 15, 2022 FC Twente 2 - 0 Heerenveen Eredivisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Heerenveen Power 0
FC Twente Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Heerenveen Position

-4

Position Gap

7

FC Twente Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.