AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Mar 10, 2024

PEC Zwolle

Home
VS
13:30

FC Volendam

Away
AI Predictions 58.0% Confidence
PEC Zwolle Win
58.0%
Draw
22.4%
FC Volendam Win
19.6%
Home Win (58% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.01 - 1.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.4 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
PEC Zwolle Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
FC Volendam Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
PEC Zwolle Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 02 PEC Zwolle vs FC Volend… 0-5
Jul 08 PEC Zwolle vs FC Volend… 0-2
FC Volendam Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 FC Volend… vs Nijmegen 2-5
Mar 01 FC Volend… vs Nijmegen 2-5
Feb 25 FC Volend… vs Heerenveen 0-4
Feb 18 FC Volend… vs Vitesse 1-1
Feb 11 FC Volend… vs PSV Eindh… 1-5
Feb 11 FC Volend… vs PSV Eindh… 1-5
Feb 04 FC Volend… vs Utrecht 4-2
Feb 04 FC Volend… vs Utrecht 4-2
Jan 28 FC Volend… vs Fortuna S… 0-1
Jan 20 FC Volend… vs Heracles 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Volendam struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 02, 2023 FC Volendam 0 - 5 PEC Zwolle Eredivisie
Jul 08, 2021 PEC Zwolle 0 - 2 FC Volendam Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
PEC Zwolle Power 0
FC Volendam Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

PEC Zwolle Position

+6

Position Gap

15

FC Volendam Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.