Thai League 1 · Apr 27, 2025 11:00
Muangthong United
PWR 35
Nakhon Ratchasima
PWR 35
Muangthong United
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Nakhon Ratchasima
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (18%)
2-0 (15%)
1-0 (9%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Muangthong Uni… Form
LLWLW
DOWN
Nakhon Ratchas… Form
LDLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS18%
Under 2.543%
Muangthong … Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
22%
4
19%
Nakhon Ratc… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.52
Muangthong Uni…vs
0.20
Nakhon Ratchas…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings53%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Muangthong …+1
Gap#15
Nakhon Ratc…
WR 16% 13 pts
WR 12% 9 pts
Muangthong Uni…
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Muangth… v Bangkok… | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Muangth… v Buriram… | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Muangth… v Chiangr… | 2-1 |
| Jan 19 | Muangth… v Ratchab… | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Muangth… v Rayong … | 4-0 |
| Dec 22 | Muangth… v Buriram… | 1-0 |
| Dec 15 | Muangth… v Chiangr… | 3-1 |
| Oct 19 | Muangth… v Bangkok… | 1-1 |
| Aug 28 | Muangth… v Ratchab… | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | Muangth… v Rayong … | 1-1 |
Nakhon Ratchas…
8.0%
| Apr 23 | Nakhon … v Bangkok… | 1-3 |
| Apr 19 | Nakhon … v Lamphun… | 1-1 |
| Apr 06 | Nakhon … v Bangkok… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Nakhon … v Sukhoth… | 2-2 |
| Feb 09 | Nakhon … v Khon Ka… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Nakhon … v Ratchab… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nakhon … v Rayong … | 3-3 |
| Jan 19 | Nakhon … v Uthai T… | 3-2 |
| Jan 14 | Nakhon … v Lamphun… | 3-0 |
| Nov 24 | Nakhon … v Bangkok… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Aug 11, 2024 | Nakhon Ratcha… | 2-1 | Muangthong Un… |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Muangthong Un… | 3-0 | Nakhon Ratcha… |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Nakhon Ratcha… | 1-1 | Muangthong Un… |
| May 01, 2022 | Nakhon Ratcha… | 2-0 | Muangthong Un… |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Muangthong Un… | 4-1 | Nakhon Ratcha… |
| Mar 09, 2021 | Nakhon Ratcha… | 4-1 | Muangthong Un… |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Muangthong Un… | 1-1 | Nakhon Ratcha… |
Key Factors
Muangthong United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.