Thai League 1 · Jan 28, 2023 11:30
Muangthong United
PWR 35
Nakhon Ratchasima
PWR 35
Muangthong United
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
Nakhon Ratchasima
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (7%)
0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Muangthong Uni… Form
LLLLD
DOWN
Nakhon Ratchas… Form
LDDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.549%
BTTS48%
Under 2.551%
Muangthong … Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Nakhon Ratc… Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Muangthong Uni…vs
0.84
Nakhon Ratchas…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings53%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Muangthong …+1
Gap#15
Nakhon Ratc…
WR 16% 13 pts
WR 12% 9 pts
Muangthong Uni…
2.0%
| Jan 25 | Muangth… v Buriram… | 1-2 |
| Nov 19 | Muangth… v Chiangr… | 3-1 |
| Oct 01 | Muangth… v Bangkok… | 3-0 |
| Sep 17 | Muangth… v Chonbur… | 1-5 |
| Sep 11 | Muangth… v Buriram… | 1-1 |
| Aug 28 | Muangth… v Nakhon … | 1-1 |
| Aug 13 | Muangth… v Ratchab… | 1-0 |
| May 01 | Muangth… v Nakhon … | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | Muangth… v Chiangr… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Muangth… v Buriram… | 0-1 |
Nakhon Ratchas…
8.0%
| Nov 05 | Nakhon … v Bangkok… | 0-4 |
| Oct 30 | Nakhon … v Ratchab… | 1-1 |
| Oct 14 | Nakhon … v Sukhoth… | 1-1 |
| Sep 17 | Nakhon … v Lamphun… | 2-2 |
| Aug 28 | Nakhon … v Muangth… | 1-1 |
| May 01 | Nakhon … v Muangth… | 2-0 |
| Apr 16 | Nakhon … v Ratchab… | 1-0 |
| Apr 10 | Nakhon … v Bangkok… | 3-0 |
| Feb 16 | Nakhon … v Uthai T… | 0-1 |
| Nov 27 | Nakhon … v Muangth… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 28, 2022 | Nakhon Ratcha… | 1-1 | Muangthong Un… |
| May 01, 2022 | Nakhon Ratcha… | 2-0 | Muangthong Un… |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Muangthong Un… | 4-1 | Nakhon Ratcha… |
| Mar 09, 2021 | Nakhon Ratcha… | 4-1 | Muangthong Un… |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Muangthong Un… | 1-1 | Nakhon Ratcha… |
Key Factors
Muangthong United struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.