Predictions Match Details
Serie B · Nov 11, 2023 15:15

Monza
PWR 43
0 - 2
FT

Sampdoria
PWR 32
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
Monza Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (16%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy77%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORMDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack46
Defense75
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
Attack29
Defense62
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.3
Monza Form WLLWL
STABLE
Sampdoria Form WLWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS36%
Under 2.555%
Monza Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Sampdoria Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Monza
vs
0.55
Sampdoria
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings88%
Market50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Monza
+12
Gap
#14
Sampdoria
WR 75% 47 pts WR 8% 25 pts
Monza 8.0%
Nov 04 Monza v Catanza… 1-2
Oct 07 Monza v Palermo 0-2
Sep 30 Monza v Venezia 1-3
Aug 26 Monza v Empoli 2-0
May 01 Monza v Venezia 5-0
Mar 17 Monza v Palermo 5-2
Mar 04 Monza v Empoli 2-1
Dec 08 Monza v Venezia 2-2
Oct 29 Monza v Palermo 0-2
Oct 15 Monza v Empoli 1-0
Sampdoria 10.0%
Nov 04 Sampdor… v Palermo 1-0
Oct 01 Sampdor… v Catanza… 1-2
Aug 03 Sampdor… v Virtus … 3-1
Apr 22 Sampdor… v Spezia 1-1
Sep 17 Sampdor… v Spezia 2-1
Jan 23 Sampdor… v Spezia 1-0
Oct 22 Sampdor… v Spezia 2-1
Key Factors
Monza struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.