AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Clubs Jul 27, 2024

Rochdale

Home
VS
14:00

Carlisle

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Rochdale Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Carlisle Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.18 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rochdale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Carlisle Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Rochdale Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Rochdale vs Southend 1-2
Apr 16 Rochdale vs Boreham W… 0-0
Apr 13 Rochdale vs Dorking W… 1-1
Apr 01 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 1-1
Mar 29 Rochdale vs Gateshead 1-0
Mar 16 Rochdale vs Eastleigh 1-4
Feb 17 Rochdale vs Solihull … 1-2
Feb 10 Rochdale vs Altrincham 3-0
Jan 27 Rochdale vs Aldershot… 3-1
Dec 16 Rochdale vs York 0-0
Carlisle Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Carlisle vs Derby 2-0
Apr 27 Carlisle vs Derby 2-0
Apr 20 Carlisle vs Wycombe 1-3
Apr 20 Carlisle vs Wycombe 1-3
Apr 13 Carlisle vs Blackpool 0-1
Apr 13 Carlisle vs Blackpool 0-1
Apr 09 Carlisle vs Chelsea 0-1
Apr 06 Carlisle vs Northampt… 2-0
Apr 01 Carlisle vs Lincoln 1-3
Mar 29 Carlisle vs Peterboro… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carlisle struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 28, 2023 Rochdale 0 - 1 Carlisle League Two
Sep 03, 2022 Carlisle 3 - 3 Rochdale League Two
Mar 29, 2022 Rochdale 2 - 0 Carlisle League Two
Mar 01, 2022 Carlisle 2 - 0 Rochdale League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rochdale to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rochdale Power 49
Carlisle Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.