Predictions Match Details
League Two · Jan 28, 2023 15:00

Rochdale
PWR 49
0 - 1
FT

Carlisle
PWR 42
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Rochdale to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack59
Defense80
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G0.7
Attack54
Defense65
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.2
Rochdale Form LLDWW
DOWN
Carlisle Form DDLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS39%
Under 2.553%
Rochdale Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Carlisle Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Rochdale
vs
0.59
Carlisle
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#51
Rochdale
-7
Gap
#44
Carlisle
WR 25% 7 pts WR 42% 18 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Rochdale82159137
Carlisle12534201818
Rochdale 10.0%
Jan 21 Rochdale v Hartlep… 2-0
Dec 26 Rochdale v Hartlep… 1-2
Sep 03 Rochdale v Carlisle 3-3
Apr 18 Rochdale v Hartlep… 2-1
Mar 29 Rochdale v Carlisle 2-0
Mar 01 Rochdale v Carlisle 2-0
Dec 08 Rochdale v Hartlep… 2-1
Sep 08 Rochdale v Morecam… 1-2
Carlisle 12.0%
Sep 03 Carlisle v Rochdale 3-3
Jul 23 Carlisle v Morecam… 0-0
Mar 29 Carlisle v Rochdale 2-0
Mar 01 Carlisle v Rochdale 2-0
Nov 09 Carlisle v Morecam… 0-2
Jul 24 Carlisle v Blackpo… 0-1
Mar 06 Carlisle v Morecam… 3-1
Oct 27 Carlisle v Morecam… 3-1
Aug 18 Carlisle v Gateshe… 1-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Sep 03, 2022 Carlisle 3-3 Rochdale
Mar 29, 2022 Rochdale 2-0 Carlisle
Mar 01, 2022 Carlisle 2-0 Rochdale
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.