League One · Mar 11, 2025 19:45

Exeter City
PWR 36
2 - 0
FT

Mansfield Town FC
PWR 37
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense68
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Attack40
Defense67
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.1
Exeter City Form WDDLW
STABLE
Mansfield Town… Form DDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS79%
Under 2.525%
Exeter City Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Mansfield T… Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.25
Exeter City
vs
1.72
Mansfield Town…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Exeter City
-1
Gap
#12
Mansfield T…
WR 54% 38 pts WR 29% 39 pts
Exeter City 12.0%
Mar 08 Exeter … v Shrewsb… 2-0
Mar 04 Exeter … v Reading… 0-0
Mar 01 Exeter … v Northam… 1-1
Feb 22 Exeter … v Charlton 3-0
Feb 15 Exeter … v Cambrid… 0-1
Feb 01 Exeter … v Stevena… 4-1
Jan 28 Exeter … v Leyton … 2-6
Jan 25 Exeter … v Blackpo… 1-3
Jan 21 Exeter … v Peterbo… 1-1
Jan 18 Exeter … v Birming… 1-0
Mansfield Town… 6.0%
Mar 08 Mansfie… v Stevena… 1-1
Mar 04 Mansfie… v Wigan 0-0
Mar 01 Mansfie… v Bolton 1-1
Feb 23 Mansfie… v Wrexham 1-2
Feb 18 Mansfie… v Lincoln 0-3
Feb 15 Mansfie… v Blackpo… 3-3
Feb 11 Mansfie… v Leyton … 3-0
Feb 07 Mansfie… v Northam… 0-1
Feb 01 Mansfie… v Shrewsb… 2-1
Jan 28 Mansfie… v Crawley… 0-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Mar 04, 2022 Mansfield Tow… 2-1 Exeter City
Oct 23, 2021 Exeter City 2-1 Mansfield Tow…
Apr 05, 2021 Exeter City 0-0 Mansfield Tow…
Sep 26, 2020 Mansfield Tow… 1-2 Exeter City
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.