League Two · Mar 04, 2022 19:45
Mansfield Town FC
PWR 37
Exeter City
PWR 36
Mansfield Town FC
PWR 37
2 - 1
FT
Exeter City
PWR 36
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Mansfield Town FC to win (86% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
86%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-2 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
1-2 (5%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack40
Defense67
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.1
Attack35
Defense68
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Mansfield Town… Form
WWLDL
STABLE
Exeter City Form
WWWDW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.578%
BTTS82%
Under 2.522%
Mansfield T… Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Exeter City Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Mansfield Town…vs
2.06
Exeter CityDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
Mansfield T…+13
Gap#31
Exeter City
WR 47% 64 pts
WR 46% 37 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town … | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 63 | 41 | 64 |
| Exeter City | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 37 |
Mansfield Town…
10.0%
| Feb 26 | Mansfie… v Brentfo… | 0-2 |
| Nov 13 | Mansfie… v Stevena… | 1-2 |
| Oct 23 | Mansfie… v Exeter … | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Mansfie… v Port Va… | 1-1 |
| Aug 21 | Mansfie… v Brentfo… | 2-3 |
| May 08 | Mansfie… v Port Va… | 0-3 |
| Apr 17 | Mansfie… v Stevena… | 0-1 |
| Apr 05 | Mansfie… v Exeter … | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Mansfie… v Brentfo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | Mansfie… v Bolton | 2-3 |
Exeter City
18.0%
| Feb 12 | Exeter … v Brentfo… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Exeter … v Leyton … | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Exeter … v Brentfo… | 2-1 |
| Nov 06 | Exeter … v Brentfo… | 1-1 |
| Oct 23 | Exeter … v Mansfie… | 2-1 |
| Oct 09 | Exeter … v Stevena… | 2-2 |
| Aug 14 | Exeter … v Leyton … | 3-0 |
| Aug 10 | Exeter … v Wycombe | 0-0 |
| Aug 07 | Exeter … v Brentfo… | 0-0 |
| Jul 24 | Exeter … v Cardiff | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 23, 2021 | Exeter City | 2-1 | Mansfield Tow… |
| Apr 05, 2021 | Exeter City | 0-0 | Mansfield Tow… |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Mansfield Tow… | 1-2 | Exeter City |
Key Factors
Exeter City in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.