Copa por MĂ©xico · Dec 23, 2022 01:00
Toluca
PWR 35
Cruz Azul
PWR 62
Toluca
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Cruz Azul
PWR 62
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Cruz Azul to win (77% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
77%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (4%)
3-3 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
2-2 (3%)
2-3 (2%)
2-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense65
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack53
Defense83
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.5
Toluca Form
WWDWD
STABLE
Cruz Azul Form
WWWDL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS90%
Under 2.536%
Toluca Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Tolucavs
2.46
Cruz AzulDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Toluca-5
Gap#1
Cruz Azul
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Cruz Azul | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Toluca
16.0%
| Oct 17 | Toluca v Santos … | 1-2 |
| Oct 14 | Toluca v Santos … | 4-3 |
| Aug 18 | Toluca v Monterr… | 1-1 |
| Aug 14 | Toluca v Cruz Az… | 2-3 |
| Aug 03 | Toluca v Puebla | 1-1 |
| Jul 23 | Toluca v Santos … | 2-1 |
| Apr 03 | Toluca v Puebla | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Toluca v Cruz Az… | 1-4 |
| Jan 16 | Toluca v Santos … | 3-1 |
| Nov 06 | Toluca v Puebla | 1-0 |
Cruz Azul
14.0%
| Oct 09 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 1-0 |
| Oct 02 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 2-1 |
| Sep 16 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 2-1 |
| Sep 03 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 2-2 |
| Aug 14 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 2-3 |
| Jul 24 | Cruz Az… v Puebla | 2-2 |
| Jul 16 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 3-2 |
| Jul 03 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 2-3 |
| Jun 27 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 2-2 |
| Apr 17 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 14, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 2-3 | Toluca |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Toluca | 1-4 | Cruz Azul |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Cruz Azul | 4-0 | Toluca |
Key Factors
Toluca in strong form (3W in last 5)
Cruz Azul in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.