Liga MX · Apr 30, 2023 01:05

Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT

Mazatlán FC
PWR 35
63% H 21% D 16% A
Final Verdict
Guadalajara Chivas Win
Prediction
4-0
Score
83%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 9 rules · 83%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
GAP12_HWR65COMBINED_ELITETOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (9 rules, 83% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Guadalajara Ch… Form WDDWD
STABLE
Mazatlán FC Form LLLLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS18%
Under 2.581%
Guadalajara… Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Mazatlán FC Goals
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Guadalajara Ch…
vs
0.29
Mazatlán FC
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings95%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Guadalajara…
+17
Gap
#18
Mazatlán FC
WR 100% 12 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Guadalajara Ch… 14.0%
Apr 23 Guadala… v Cruz Az… 2-1
Feb 12 Guadala… v Pachuca 1-1
Feb 05 Guadala… v Queréta… 1-1
Jan 29 Guadala… v FC Juar… 1-2
Jan 14 Guadala… v Atletic… 0-0
Dec 31 Guadala… v Cruz Az… 0-2
Dec 17 Guadala… v Mazatlá… 1-0
Oct 02 Guadala… v Cruz Az… 2-1
Aug 06 Guadala… v Mazatlá… 2-1
Jul 31 Guadala… v Pachuca 0-0
Mazatlán FC 0.0%
Apr 22 Mazatlá… v Monterr… 0-2
Feb 11 Mazatlá… v Puebla 3-1
Feb 04 Mazatlá… v FC Juar… 2-3
Jan 13 Mazatlá… v Atlas 2-1
Dec 21 Mazatlá… v Atlas 2-1
Dec 17 Mazatlá… v Guadala… 1-0
Sep 08 Mazatlá… v Atlas 1-0
Sep 04 Mazatlá… v Monterr… 0-0
Aug 21 Mazatlá… v FC Juar… 1-1
Aug 06 Mazatlá… v Guadala… 2-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Dec 17, 2022 Guadalajara C… 1-0 Mazatlán FC
Aug 06, 2022 Mazatlán FC 2-1 Guadalajara C…
Jan 10, 2022 Guadalajara C… 3-0 Mazatlán FC
Nov 06, 2021 Mazatlán FC 0-1 Guadalajara C…
Key Factors
Mazatlán FC struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.