Liga de Expansión MX · Jan 19, 2023 03:05
Venados FC
PWR 35
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
Venados FC
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (16%)
3-0 (14%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
HOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Venados FC Form
LWDDW
STABLE
Alebrijes de O… Form
DLDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS33%
Under 2.544%
Venados FC Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Alebrijes d… Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Venados FCvs
0.43
Alebrijes de O…Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings64%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Venados FC+3
Gap#10
Alebrijes d…
WR 33% 5 pts
WR 0% 5 pts
Venados FC
12.0%
| Sep 30 | Venados… v Tapatío | 1-0 |
| Sep 26 | Venados… v CA La P… | 3-0 |
| Aug 11 | Venados… v Dorados | 1-1 |
| Jul 08 | Venados… v Alebrij… | 0-0 |
| Mar 30 | Venados… v Dorados | 2-1 |
| Feb 09 | Venados… v Alebrij… | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | Venados… v Tapatío | 1-0 |
| Nov 18 | Venados… v Tapatío | 3-0 |
| Oct 28 | Venados… v Dorados | 3-0 |
| Oct 06 | Venados… v Alebrij… | 1-1 |
Alebrijes de O…
8.0%
| Oct 22 | Alebrij… v Monarcas | 1-1 |
| Aug 27 | Alebrij… v Monarcas | 1-3 |
| Aug 17 | Alebrij… v Cancún | 0-0 |
| Aug 11 | Alebrij… v Mineros… | 2-2 |
| Jul 08 | Alebrij… v Venados… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Alebrij… v Mineros… | 4-2 |
| Feb 09 | Alebrij… v Venados… | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Alebrij… v Monarcas | 1-1 |
| Jan 06 | Alebrij… v Cancún | 2-0 |
| Nov 10 | Alebrij… v Cancún | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jul 08, 2022 | Alebrijes de … | 0-0 | Venados FC |
| Feb 09, 2022 | Alebrijes de … | 1-0 | Venados FC |
| Oct 06, 2021 | Venados FC | 1-1 | Alebrijes de … |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Venados FC | 2-2 | Alebrijes de … |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.