Primeira Liga · Apr 06, 2025 14:30
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 35
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Moreirense
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (33%)
0-1 (25%)
1-0 (11%)
0-2 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
1-2 (3%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
GIL Vicente Form
WLLDL
STABLE
Moreirense Form
DWLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.510%
BTTS16%
Under 2.590%
GIL Vicente Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Moreirense Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35
GIL Vicentevs
0.77
MoreirenseDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum45%
Standings63%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
GIL Vicente+2
Gap#6
Moreirense
WR 60% 37 pts
WR 27% 30 pts
GIL Vicente
6.0%
| Apr 01 | GIL Vicā¦ v Boavista | 1-3 |
| Mar 28 | GIL Vicā¦ v Benfica | 0-3 |
| Mar 15 | GIL Vicā¦ v Santa Cā¦ | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | GIL Vicā¦ v Estrelaā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | GIL Vicā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | GIL Vicā¦ v Casa Piā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | GIL Vicā¦ v Famalicā¦ | 0-2 |
| Feb 09 | GIL Vicā¦ v SC Braga | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | GIL Vicā¦ v Estoril | 1-2 |
| Jan 27 | GIL Vicā¦ v AVS | 1-0 |
Moreirense
12.0%
| Mar 30 | Moreireā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 2-2 |
| Mar 16 | Moreireā¦ v Boavista | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreireā¦ v Chaves | 4-0 |
| Mar 14 | Moreireā¦ v Portimoā¦ | 1-2 |
| Mar 09 | Moreireā¦ v Santa Cā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Moreireā¦ v Estrelaā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Moreireā¦ v Famalicā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Moreireā¦ v Moreireā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 16 | Moreireā¦ v Benfica | 3-2 |
| Feb 15 | Moreireā¦ v Casa Piā¦ | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 12, 2025 | GIL Vicente | 1-0 | Moreirense |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Moreirense | 3-2 | GIL Vicente |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Moreirense | 3-2 | GIL Vicente |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Moreirense | 0-1 | GIL Vicente |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Moreirense | 0-1 | GIL Vicente |
| Dec 11, 2023 | GIL Vicente | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Dec 11, 2023 | GIL Vicente | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Apr 08, 2022 | GIL Vicente | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Moreirense | 2-2 | GIL Vicente |
| Apr 11, 2021 | GIL Vicente | 1-2 | Moreirense |
Key Factors
GIL Vicente struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.