Predictions Match Details
Primeira Liga · Dec 11, 2023 20:15

GIL Vicente
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Moreirense
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (35%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
GIL Vicente Form LLDLW
DOWN
Moreirense Form DDDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.59%
BTTS10%
Under 2.591%
GIL Vicente Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Moreirense Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
GIL Vicente
vs
0.20
Moreirense
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings61%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
GIL Vicente
+1
Gap
#6
Moreirense
WR 60% 34 pts WR 27% 30 pts
GIL Vicente 6.0%
Dec 04 GIL Vic… v Sportin… 3-1
Dec 04 GIL Vic… v Sp Lisb… 3-1
Nov 12 GIL Vic… v Rio Ave… 1-1
Nov 04 GIL Vic… v Famalic… 3-1
Oct 02 GIL Vic… v Casa Pi… 2-0
Sep 23 GIL Vic… v FC Porto 2-1
Aug 19 GIL Vic… v Guimara… 2-1
May 27 GIL Vic… v Casa Pi… 1-0
May 21 GIL Vic… v Guimara… 1-0
Apr 05 GIL Vic… v Sportin… 0-0
Moreirense 10.0%
Dec 03 Moreire… v Benfica 0-0
Dec 03 Moreire… v Benfica 0-0
Dec 03 Moreire… v Leixões… 0-0
Nov 26 Moreire… v Tondela 1-1
Nov 25 Moreire… v Benfica 1-1
Nov 19 Moreire… v Marítimo 1-2
Nov 11 Moreire… v Estrela… 0-1
Nov 05 Moreire… v Guimara… 1-0
Nov 04 Moreire… v FC Porto 2-0
Oct 01 Moreire… v Pacos F… 1-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Apr 08, 2022 GIL Vicente 1-2 Moreirense
Nov 26, 2021 Moreirense 2-2 GIL Vicente
Apr 11, 2021 GIL Vicente 1-2 Moreirense
Dec 05, 2020 Moreirense 1-1 GIL Vicente
Key Factors
GIL Vicente struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.