Taça da Liga · Nov 19, 2022 18:00
Tondela
PWR 23
Estoril
PWR 38
Tondela
PWR 23
0 - 0
FT
Estoril
PWR 38
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (11%)
3-1 (6%)
1-0 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack7
Defense58
Goals/G0.2
Conc/G1.2
Attack35
Defense59
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.2
Tondela Form
DLWLD
STABLE
Estoril Form
LLLLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS34%
Under 2.539%
Tondela Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
19%
Estoril Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.81
Tondelavs
0.42
EstorilDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Tondela-7
Gap#10
Estoril
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 17% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Estoril | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Tondela
8.0%
| Nov 14 | Tondela v Moreire… | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Tondela v Nacional | 1-0 |
| Aug 06 | Tondela v Nacional | 0-1 |
| Jul 30 | Tondela v FC Porto | 3-0 |
| Jul 22 | Tondela v GIL Vic… | 1-1 |
| May 22 | Tondela v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| May 08 | Tondela v GIL Vic… | 3-0 |
| Apr 16 | Tondela v Moreire… | 2-0 |
| Mar 19 | Tondela v Arouca | 2-2 |
| Mar 13 | Tondela v FC Porto | 4-0 |
Estoril
2.0%
| Nov 14 | Estoril v Santa C… | 3-1 |
| Nov 09 | Estoril v Benfica | 0-1 |
| Nov 06 | Estoril v Benfica | 1-5 |
| Oct 22 | Estoril v SC Braga | 0-2 |
| Sep 17 | Estoril v FC Porto | 1-1 |
| Aug 14 | Estoril v Guimara… | 1-0 |
| Aug 06 | Estoril v Famalic… | 2-0 |
| May 14 | Estoril v FC Porto | 2-0 |
| May 07 | Estoril v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Apr 29 | Estoril v Famalic… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 12, 2022 | Estoril | 1-0 | Tondela |
| Dec 21, 2021 | Tondela | 3-1 | Estoril |
| Sep 13, 2021 | Tondela | 1-2 | Estoril |
Key Factors
Estoril struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.