Primeira Liga · Feb 12, 2022 20:30

Estoril
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Tondela
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
Estoril Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
75%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 75%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy76%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (6 rules, 75% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Estoril Form LLLLD
DOWN
Tondela Form LWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS43%
Under 2.539%
Estoril Goals
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Tondela Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Estoril
vs
0.61
Tondela
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings73%
Market50%
League Standings
#7
Estoril
+10
Gap
#17
Tondela
WR 46% 30 pts WR 18% 14 pts
Estoril 2.0%
Jan 23 Estoril v Guimara… 3-1
Jan 08 Estoril v FC Porto 2-3
Dec 28 Estoril v Moreire… 1-0
Dec 21 Estoril v Tondela 3-1
Dec 17 Estoril v Famalic… 2-2
Dec 05 Estoril v SC Braga 2-0
Nov 29 Estoril v Santa C… 2-2
Oct 30 Estoril v Benfica 1-1
Sep 13 Estoril v Tondela 1-2
Aug 13 Estoril v Guimara… 0-0
Tondela 8.0%
Feb 07 Tondela v Benfica 1-3
Jan 03 Tondela v Moreire… 2-1
Dec 28 Tondela v GIL Vic… 0-3
Dec 21 Tondela v Estoril 3-1
Oct 29 Tondela v Arouca 2-0
Oct 23 Tondela v FC Porto 1-3
Sep 25 Tondela v Famalic… 3-2
Sep 20 Tondela v SC Braga 3-1
Sep 13 Tondela v Estoril 1-2
Aug 29 Tondela v Benfica 2-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Dec 21, 2021 Tondela 3-1 Estoril
Sep 13, 2021 Tondela 1-2 Estoril
Key Factors
Estoril struggling (4L in last 5)
Tondela struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.