Predictions Match Details
Taça de Portugal · Dec 21, 2021 18:45

Tondela
PWR 39
3 - 1
FT

Estoril
PWR 33
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Tondela to win (77% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
77%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack48
Defense43
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Attack30
Defense40
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.7
Tondela Form LLWLL
DOWN
Estoril Form DLDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS56%
Under 2.546%
Tondela Goals
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Estoril Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Tondela
vs
1.09
Estoril
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#22
Tondela
+8
Gap
#30
Estoril
WR 25% 8 pts WR 29% 7 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Tondela822411138
Estoril72146127
Tondela 4.0%
Oct 29 Tondela v Arouca 2-0
Oct 23 Tondela v FC Porto 1-3
Sep 25 Tondela v Famalic… 3-2
Sep 20 Tondela v SC Braga 3-1
Sep 13 Tondela v Estoril 1-2
Aug 29 Tondela v Benfica 2-1
Jul 24 Tondela v GIL Vic… 0-1
Apr 30 Tondela v Benfica 0-2
Apr 26 Tondela v Famalic… 2-2
Apr 22 Tondela v Nacional 2-1
Estoril 10.0%
Dec 17 Estoril v Famalic… 2-2
Dec 05 Estoril v SC Braga 2-0
Nov 29 Estoril v Santa C… 2-2
Oct 30 Estoril v Benfica 1-1
Sep 13 Estoril v Tondela 1-2
Aug 13 Estoril v Guimara… 0-0
Dec 17 Estoril v SC Braga 3-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 13, 2021 Tondela 1-2 Estoril
Key Factors
Tondela struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.