Primeira Liga · Sep 13, 2021 20:15

Tondela
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

Estoril
PWR 35
48% H 24% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (18%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 1-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Tondela Form LLLDW
DOWN
Estoril Form DL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS35%
Under 2.571%
Tondela Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Estoril Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Tondela
vs
1.20
Estoril
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum40%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Tondela
-10
Gap
#7
Estoril
WR 10% 14 pts WR 30% 30 pts
Tondela 6.0%
Aug 29 Tondela v Benfica 2-1
Jul 24 Tondela v GIL Vic… 0-1
Apr 30 Tondela v Benfica 0-2
Apr 26 Tondela v Famalic… 2-2
Apr 22 Tondela v Nacional 2-1
Apr 17 Tondela v Moreire… 2-3
Apr 10 Tondela v FC Porto 0-2
Feb 28 Tondela v GIL Vic… 1-0
Feb 21 Tondela v SC Braga 4-2
Jan 08 Tondela v Benfica 2-0
Estoril 5.0%
Aug 13 Estoril v Guimara… 0-0
Dec 17 Estoril v SC Braga 3-1
Key Factors
Tondela struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.