Predictions Match Details
Primeira Liga · Jan 18, 2025 20:30

Guimaraes
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Arouca
PWR 35
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (5%) 3-1 (4%) 3-3 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 3-0 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 69%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Guimaraes Form LDDDD
STABLE
Arouca Form WDDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS86%
Under 2.535%
Guimaraes Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Arouca Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Guimaraes
vs
2.06
Arouca
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings59%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Guimaraes
+3
Gap
#12
Arouca
WR 46% 28 pts WR 30% 23 pts
Guimaraes 8.0%
Jan 12 Guimara… v O Elvas 2-1
Jan 03 Guimara… v Sportin… 4-4
Jan 03 Guimara… v Sp Lisb… 4-4
Dec 29 Guimara… v Farense 2-2
Dec 23 Guimara… v Nacional 2-2
Dec 23 Guimara… v Nacional 2-2
Dec 16 Guimara… v Rio Ave… 2-2
Dec 16 Guimara… v Rio Ave… 2-2
Dec 07 Guimara… v Benfica 1-0
Dec 02 Guimara… v GIL Vic… 4-0
Arouca 12.0%
Jan 04 Arouca v Boavista 1-3
Dec 27 Arouca v GIL Vic… 1-1
Dec 27 Arouca v GIL Vic… 1-1
Dec 20 Arouca v Casa Pi… 3-1
Dec 15 Arouca v Santa C… 1-0
Dec 15 Arouca v Santa C… 1-0
Dec 09 Arouca v Estrela… 2-1
Dec 09 Arouca v Estrela… 2-1
Dec 01 Arouca v Benfica 0-2
Nov 23 Arouca v Farense 1-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Aug 12, 2024 Arouca 0-1 Guimaraes
Aug 12, 2024 Arouca 0-1 Guimaraes
May 18, 2024 Arouca 1-3 Guimaraes
May 18, 2024 Arouca 1-3 Guimaraes
Jan 15, 2024 Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca
Jan 15, 2024 Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca
Mar 11, 2023 Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca
Sep 18, 2022 Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes
Feb 19, 2022 Guimaraes 1-3 Arouca
Sep 18, 2021 Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.