Predictions Match Details
Primeira Liga · Mar 11, 2023 18:00

Guimaraes
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT

Arouca
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 0-2 (9%) 1-3 (7%) 0-3 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 69%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Guimaraes Form WWDLW
STABLE
Arouca Form WDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS57%
Under 2.543%
Guimaraes Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Arouca Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Guimaraes
vs
1.98
Arouca
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum37%
Standings58%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Guimaraes
+2
Gap
#11
Arouca
WR 46% 28 pts WR 30% 20 pts
Guimaraes 14.0%
Feb 27 Guimara… v SC Braga 2-1
Feb 19 Guimara… v Varzim 2-1
Feb 19 Guimara… v Casa Pi… 0-0
Feb 11 Guimara… v Fafe 1-0
Feb 04 Guimara… v Estoril 0-1
Feb 04 Guimara… v São Joã… 1-3
Jan 30 Guimara… v SC Braga 3-0
Jan 21 Guimara… v FC Porto 0-1
Jan 16 Guimara… v GIL Vic… 2-1
Jan 13 Guimara… v Paredes 1-1
Arouca 10.0%
Feb 11 Arouca v Santa C… 1-0
Feb 05 Arouca v GIL Vic… 1-1
Jan 24 Arouca v Sportin… 1-2
Dec 16 Arouca v Santa C… 1-2
Nov 12 Arouca v Rio Ave… 0-1
Nov 08 Arouca v GIL Vic… 1-4
Oct 29 Arouca v Sportin… 1-0
Sep 18 Arouca v Guimara… 2-2
Aug 20 Arouca v Santa C… 1-2
Aug 15 Arouca v GIL Vic… 1-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Sep 18, 2022 Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes
Feb 19, 2022 Guimaraes 1-3 Arouca
Sep 18, 2021 Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes
Nov 21, 2020 Arouca 0-0 Guimaraes
Key Factors
Guimaraes in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.