Predictions Match Details
Major League Soccer · Apr 14, 2024 20:45

St. Louis City SC
PWR 44
1 - 0
FT

Austin
PWR 44
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-3 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-3 (2%) 2-2 (2%) 3-1 (2%) 2-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack64
Defense31
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G2.0
Attack51
Defense42
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.6
St. Louis City… Form DWLWW
STABLE
Austin Form DWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS96%
Under 2.542%
St. Louis C… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Austin Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
St. Louis City…
vs
3.59
Austin
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
St. Louis C…
-5
Gap
#13
Austin
WR 35% 36 pts WR 39% 43 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
St. Louis City …2910613535736
Austin3112712455143
St. Louis City… 14.0%
Mar 10 St. Lou… v Austin 2-2
Aug 21 St. Lou… v Austin 6-3
Apr 30 St. Lou… v Portlan… 1-2
Mar 12 St. Lou… v Portlan… 1-2
Feb 26 St. Lou… v Austin 2-3
Austin 8.0%
Mar 10 Austin v St. Lou… 2-2
Feb 17 Austin v New Yor… 3-2
Feb 03 Austin v Louisvi… 2-2
Aug 21 Austin v St. Lou… 6-3
Feb 26 Austin v St. Lou… 2-3
Feb 11 Austin v Louisvi… 4-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Mar 10, 2024 Austin 2-2 St. Louis Cit…
Aug 21, 2023 St. Louis Cit… 6-3 Austin
Feb 26, 2023 Austin 2-3 St. Louis Cit…
Key Factors
St. Louis City SC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.