Friendlies Clubs · Jul 20, 2024 15:00
Lorient
PWR 33
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
Lorient
PWR 33
1 - 1
FT
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Lorient to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-3 (4%)
3-2 (3%)
2-3 (3%)
2-2 (2%)
3-1 (2%)
2-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense54
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Attack39
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Lorient Form
WWLLL
STABLE
Stade Brestois… Form
WDDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS96%
Under 2.539%
Lorient Goals
0
1%
1
6%
2
12%
3
18%
4
19%
Stade Brest… Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.32
Lorientvs
3.57
Stade Brestois…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#206
Lorient-105
Gap#101
Stade Brest…
WR 25% 8 pts
WR 43% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| Stade Brestois … | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
Lorient
8.0%
| May 19 | Lorient v Clermont | 5-0 |
| May 19 | Lorient v Clermont | 5-0 |
| May 12 | Lorient v Marseil… | 3-1 |
| May 12 | Lorient v Marseil… | 3-1 |
| May 03 | Lorient v Lens | 2-0 |
| May 03 | Lorient v Lens | 2-0 |
| Apr 28 | Lorient v Toulouse | 1-2 |
| Apr 28 | Lorient v Toulouse | 1-2 |
| Apr 24 | Lorient v Paris S… | 1-4 |
| Apr 24 | Lorient v Paris FC | 1-4 |
Stade Brestois…
12.0%
| May 19 | Stade B… v Toulouse | 0-3 |
| May 10 | Stade B… v Reims | 1-1 |
| May 04 | Stade B… v Nantes | 0-0 |
| Apr 28 | Stade B… v Rennes … | 4-5 |
| Apr 21 | Stade B… v Monaco | 0-2 |
| Apr 14 | Stade B… v Lyon | 4-3 |
| Mar 31 | Stade B… v Lorient | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Stade B… v Strasbo… | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Stade B… v Paris S… | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Stade B… v Nice | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Mar 31, 2024 | Lorient | 0-1 | Stade Brestoi… |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Stade Brestoi… | 4-0 | Lorient |
| May 07, 2023 | Lorient | 2-1 | Stade Brestoi… |
| Oct 09, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-2 | Lorient |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-0 | Lorient |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-0 | Lorient |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 0-1 | Lorient |
Key Factors
Lorient struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.