Ligue 1 · May 07, 2023 13:00
Lorient
PWR 33
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
Lorient
PWR 33
2 - 1
FT
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Stade Brestois 29 to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (11%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (34.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense54
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Attack39
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Lorient Form
LDDLW
STABLE
Stade Brestois… Form
WWWLD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.537%
BTTS31%
Under 2.563%
Lorient Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Stade Brest… Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Lorientvs
0.48
Stade Brestois…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings64%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Lorient+3
Gap#12
Stade Brest…
WR 50% 28 pts
WR 20% 26 pts
Lorient
8.0%
| Apr 16 | Lorient v Monaco | 3-1 |
| Mar 19 | Lorient v Nice | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Lorient v Lyon | 0-0 |
| Feb 12 | Lorient v Nantes | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | Lorient v Rennes … | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Lorient v Monaco | 2-2 |
| Dec 21 | Lorient v Nantes | 2-1 |
| Nov 13 | Lorient v Strasbo… | 1-1 |
| Oct 30 | Lorient v Nice | 1-2 |
| Oct 09 | Lorient v Stade B… | 1-2 |
Stade Brestois…
14.0%
| Apr 16 | Stade B… v Nice | 1-0 |
| Apr 02 | Stade B… v Toulouse | 3-1 |
| Mar 05 | Stade B… v Strasbo… | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Stade B… v Monaco | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Stade B… v Lyon | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Stade B… v Toulouse | 1-1 |
| Jan 01 | Stade B… v Monaco | 1-0 |
| Dec 28 | Stade B… v Lyon | 2-4 |
| Dec 22 | Stade B… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Nov 06 | Stade B… v Nice | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 09, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-2 | Lorient |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-0 | Lorient |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-0 | Lorient |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 0-1 | Lorient |
Key Factors
Stade Brestois 29 in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.