Ligue 1 · Oct 09, 2022 13:00
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
Lorient
PWR 33
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
1 - 2
FT
Lorient
PWR 33
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Lorient to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (28%)
2-0 (20%)
0-0 (19%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (34.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Attack41
Defense54
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Stade Brestois… Form
DDLWW
STABLE
Lorient Form
WWWLL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS14%
Under 2.577%
Stade Brest… Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Lorient Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Stade Brestois…vs
0.20
LorientDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Stade Brest…-3
Gap#9
Lorient
WR 40% 23 pts
WR 20% 28 pts
Stade Brestois…
12.0%
| Oct 02 | Stade B… v Auxerre | 1-1 |
| Sep 04 | Stade B… v Strasbo… | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Stade B… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Jul 16 | Stade B… v Lorient | 1-0 |
| Jul 16 | Stade B… v Lorient | 1-0 |
| May 14 | Stade B… v Monaco | 4-2 |
| May 07 | Stade B… v Strasbo… | 0-1 |
| Apr 20 | Stade B… v Lyon | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Stade B… v Lorient | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Stade B… v Rennes … | 2-0 |
Lorient
12.0%
| Sep 11 | Lorient v Nantes | 3-2 |
| Sep 07 | Lorient v Lyon | 3-1 |
| Aug 07 | Lorient v Rennes … | 0-1 |
| Jul 23 | Lorient v Nantes | 2-0 |
| Jul 16 | Lorient v Stade B… | 1-0 |
| Jul 16 | Lorient v Stade B… | 1-0 |
| Apr 24 | Lorient v Rennes … | 5-0 |
| Apr 20 | Lorient v Metz | 1-0 |
| Apr 17 | Lorient v Nice | 2-1 |
| Mar 20 | Lorient v Strasbo… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jul 16, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-0 | Lorient |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-0 | Lorient |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 0-1 | Lorient |
Key Factors
Lorient in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.