Ligue 1 · Feb 27, 2022 14:00

Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31

Lorient
PWR 33

Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
0 - 1
FT

Lorient
PWR 33
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (34.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Attack41
Defense54
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Stade Brestois… Form
LLWLL
DOWN
Lorient Form
DLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS56%
Under 2.542%
Stade Brest… Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Lorient Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Stade Brestois…vs
1.03
LorientDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Stade Brest…-3
Gap#9
Lorient
WR 46% 26 pts
WR 18% 28 pts
Stade Brestois…
4.0%
| Feb 06 | Stade B… v Rennes … | 2-0 |
| Jan 09 | Stade B… v Nice | 0-3 |
| Oct 31 | Stade B… v Monaco | 2-0 |
| Oct 02 | Stade B… v Nice | 2-1 |
| Aug 29 | Stade B… v Strasbo… | 3-1 |
| Aug 07 | Stade B… v Lyon | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Stade B… v Monaco | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Stade B… v Lyon | 2-3 |
| Feb 03 | Stade B… v Strasbo… | 2-2 |
| Oct 25 | Stade B… v Strasbo… | 0-3 |
Lorient
2.0%
| Feb 13 | Lorient v Monaco | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Lorient v Nantes | 4-2 |
| Dec 18 | Lorient v Rennes … | 1-0 |
| Dec 12 | Lorient v Metz | 4-1 |
| Nov 28 | Lorient v Rennes … | 0-2 |
| Oct 31 | Lorient v Strasbo… | 4-0 |
| Sep 25 | Lorient v Lyon | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | Lorient v Nice | 1-0 |
| Aug 13 | Lorient v Monaco | 1-0 |
| May 23 | Lorient v Strasbo… | 1-1 |
Key Factors
Stade Brestois 29 struggling (4L in last 5)
Lorient struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.