Ligue 1 · Feb 27, 2022 14:00

Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
0 - 1
FT

Lorient
PWR 33
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (34.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Attack41
Defense54
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Stade Brestois… Form LLWLL
DOWN
Lorient Form DLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS56%
Under 2.542%
Stade Brest… Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Lorient Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Stade Brestois…
vs
1.03
Lorient
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Stade Brest…
-3
Gap
#9
Lorient
WR 46% 26 pts WR 18% 28 pts
Stade Brestois… 4.0%
Feb 06 Stade B… v Rennes … 2-0
Jan 09 Stade B… v Nice 0-3
Oct 31 Stade B… v Monaco 2-0
Oct 02 Stade B… v Nice 2-1
Aug 29 Stade B… v Strasbo… 3-1
Aug 07 Stade B… v Lyon 1-1
Feb 28 Stade B… v Monaco 2-0
Feb 19 Stade B… v Lyon 2-3
Feb 03 Stade B… v Strasbo… 2-2
Oct 25 Stade B… v Strasbo… 0-3
Lorient 2.0%
Feb 13 Lorient v Monaco 0-0
Jan 23 Lorient v Nantes 4-2
Dec 18 Lorient v Rennes … 1-0
Dec 12 Lorient v Metz 4-1
Nov 28 Lorient v Rennes … 0-2
Oct 31 Lorient v Strasbo… 4-0
Sep 25 Lorient v Lyon 1-1
Sep 22 Lorient v Nice 1-0
Aug 13 Lorient v Monaco 1-0
May 23 Lorient v Strasbo… 1-1
Key Factors
Stade Brestois 29 struggling (4L in last 5)
Lorient struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.