Ligue 1 · Mar 15, 2025 20:05
Lens
PWR 44
Rennes FC
PWR 34
Lens
PWR 44
1 - 0
FT
Rennes FC
PWR 34
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
Lens Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
73%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (4 rules, 73% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense76
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack45
Defense54
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.6
Lens Form
WLLLL
STABLE
Rennes FC Form
DLLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS76%
Under 2.526%
Lens Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Rennes FC Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Lensvs
1.78
Rennes FCDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings74%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Lens+4
Gap#6
Rennes FC
WR 90% 46 pts
WR 30% 31 pts
Lens
4.0%
| Mar 08 | Lens v Marseil… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Lens v LE Havr… | 3-4 |
| Feb 23 | Lens v Nantes | 3-1 |
| Feb 16 | Lens v Strasbo… | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Lens v Nice | 2-0 |
| Feb 04 | Lens v Paris S… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Lens v Montpel… | 0-2 |
| Jan 26 | Lens v Angers | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Lens v Paris FC | 1-2 |
| Jan 14 | Lens v Valenci… | 1-1 |
Rennes FC
8.0%
| Mar 09 | Rennes … v St. Vin… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Rennes … v Paris FC | 1-4 |
| Mar 08 | Rennes … v Paris S… | 1-4 |
| Mar 06 | Rennes … v St. Vin… | 1-1 |
| Mar 03 | Rennes … v Pigotts… | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Rennes … v Montpel… | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Rennes … v Reims | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | Rennes … v Lille | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Rennes … v John Hu… | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Rennes … v Japan U… | 8-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 21, 2024 | Rennes FC | 1-1 | Lens |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Rennes FC | 1-1 | Lens |
| May 12, 2024 | Rennes FC | 1-1 | Lens |
| May 12, 2024 | Rennes FC | 1-1 | Lens |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Lens | 1-1 | Rennes FC |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Rennes FC | 0-1 | Lens |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Lens | 2-1 | Rennes FC |
| Jan 08, 2022 | Lens | 1-0 | Rennes FC |
| Aug 08, 2021 | Rennes FC | 1-1 | Lens |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Lens | 0-0 | Rennes FC |
Key Factors
Lens struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.