Ligue 1 · Aug 20, 2023 18:45
Lens
PWR 44
Rennes FC
PWR 34
Lens
PWR 44
1 - 1
FT
Rennes FC
PWR 34
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
Lens Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy76%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKINGCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (6 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense76
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack45
Defense54
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.6
Lens Form
WDWWW
STABLE
Rennes FC Form
WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS62%
Under 2.537%
Lens Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Rennes FC Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Lensvs
1.19
Rennes FCDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Lens+5
Gap#6
Rennes FC
WR 91% 49 pts
WR 27% 31 pts
Lens
18.0%
| Jul 22 | Lens v Sochaux | 3-0 |
| Jul 08 | Lens v Dunkerq… | 4-4 |
| Jun 03 | Lens v Auxerre | 1-3 |
| May 06 | Lens v Marseil… | 2-1 |
| May 02 | Lens v Toulouse | 0-1 |
| Apr 07 | Lens v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| Apr 01 | Lens v Rennes … | 0-1 |
| Mar 18 | Lens v Angers | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Lens v Nantes | 2-1 |
| Feb 19 | Lens v Nantes | 3-1 |
Rennes FC
20.0%
| Aug 13 | Rennes … v Metz | 5-1 |
| Jul 26 | Rennes … v Stade B… | 0-1 |
| Jul 22 | Rennes … v Saint-M… | 1-2 |
| Jun 03 | Rennes … v Stade B… | 1-2 |
| May 27 | Rennes … v Monaco | 2-0 |
| Apr 01 | Rennes … v Lens | 0-1 |
| Mar 19 | Rennes … v Paris S… | 0-2 |
| Mar 05 | Rennes … v Marseil… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Rennes … v Lille | 1-3 |
| Jan 27 | Rennes … v Lorient | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 01, 2023 | Rennes FC | 0-1 | Lens |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Lens | 2-1 | Rennes FC |
| Jan 08, 2022 | Lens | 1-0 | Rennes FC |
| Aug 08, 2021 | Rennes FC | 1-1 | Lens |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Lens | 0-0 | Rennes FC |
Key Factors
Lens in strong form (4W in last 5)
Rennes FC in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.