Ligue 1 · Aug 27, 2022 19:00
Lens
PWR 44
Rennes FC
PWR 34
Lens
PWR 44
2 - 1
FT
Rennes FC
PWR 34
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
Lens Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (16%)
1-0 (14%)
3-0 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
0-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy77%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKINGDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense76
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack45
Defense54
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.6
Lens Form
WDWLW
STABLE
Rennes FC Form
DLDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.549%
BTTS37%
Under 2.551%
Lens Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Rennes FC Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Lensvs
0.54
Rennes FCDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Lens+5
Gap#6
Rennes FC
WR 91% 49 pts
WR 27% 31 pts
Lens
14.0%
| May 14 | Lens v Estac T… | 1-3 |
| Apr 30 | Lens v Nantes | 2-2 |
| Apr 10 | Lens v Nice | 3-0 |
| Apr 03 | Lens v Strasbo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Lens v Angers | 1-2 |
| Jan 22 | Lens v Marseil… | 0-2 |
| Jan 08 | Lens v Rennes … | 1-0 |
| Dec 22 | Lens v Nice | 2-1 |
| Dec 10 | Lens v Nantes | 3-2 |
| Nov 27 | Lens v Laval | 1-1 |
Rennes FC
8.0%
| Aug 13 | Rennes … v Monaco | 1-1 |
| Aug 07 | Rennes … v Lorient | 0-1 |
| May 21 | Rennes … v Lille | 2-2 |
| Apr 24 | Rennes … v Lorient | 5-0 |
| Apr 15 | Rennes … v Monaco | 2-3 |
| Mar 20 | Rennes … v Metz | 6-1 |
| Feb 11 | Rennes … v Paris S… | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Rennes … v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Jan 08 | Rennes … v Lens | 1-0 |
| Dec 22 | Rennes … v Monaco | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jan 08, 2022 | Lens | 1-0 | Rennes FC |
| Aug 08, 2021 | Rennes FC | 1-1 | Lens |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Lens | 0-0 | Rennes FC |
Key Factors
Lens in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.