AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Apr 06, 2024

Stoke City

Home
VS
14:00

West Brom

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Stoke City Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
West Brom Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.64 - 2.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 2.0 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stoke City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
West Brom Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%
Stoke City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 Stoke City vs Huddersfi… 1-1
Mar 29 Stoke City vs Hull City 0-2
Mar 29 Stoke City vs Hull City 0-2
Mar 16 Stoke City vs Norwich C… 0-3
Mar 16 Stoke City vs Norwich C… 0-3
Mar 09 Stoke City vs Preston 1-2
Mar 05 Stoke City vs Leeds 1-0
Mar 02 Stoke City vs Middlesbr… 2-0
Mar 02 Stoke City vs Middlesbr… 2-0
Feb 24 Stoke City vs Cardiff 2-1
West Brom Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 West Brom vs Tottenham 1-1
Apr 02 West Brom vs Tottenham 1-1
Apr 01 West Brom vs Watford 2-2
Mar 30 West Brom vs Newcastle… 4-3
Mar 29 West Brom vs Millwall 1-1
Mar 17 West Brom vs Aston Vil… 1-1
Mar 17 West Brom vs Aston Vil… 1-1
Mar 16 West Brom vs Bristol C… 2-0
Mar 16 West Brom vs Bristol C… 2-0
Mar 14 West Brom vs SC Freibu… 5-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 17, 2023 West Brom 1 - 1 Stoke City Championship
Dec 17, 2023 West Brom 1 - 1 Stoke City Pro League
Aug 08, 2023 Stoke City 2 - 1 West Brom League Cup
Apr 15, 2023 Stoke City 1 - 2 West Brom Championship
Nov 12, 2022 West Brom 2 - 0 Stoke City Championship
Apr 09, 2022 West Brom 1 - 3 Stoke City Championship
Oct 01, 2021 Stoke City 1 - 0 West Brom Championship
Final Verdict

PRO: Stoke City to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stoke City Power 37
West Brom Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Stoke City Position

+10

Position Gap

22

West Brom Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 19%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.